Player Radar 2019 | Toby Nankervis

While Brodie Grundy, Max Gawn, Darcy Fort and Zac Clarke are the names on everybody’s lips when discussing the ruckmen, there’s a Tiger who is sliding under the radar: Toby Nankervis.

Player: Toby Nankervis
Team: Richmond
Age: 24
Price: $533,00
Position: Ruckman
Games played 2018: 21
2018 average: 98.2
100+ scores: 9
90+ scores: 16

Nankervis’ big career move came at the end of the 2016 season. He was traded from the Swans to the Tigers and consequentially helped deliver Richmond a flag in 2017.

He was vitally important for the Tigers and managed to raise his average from the previous season by a whopping 14 points, after starting as a mid-price player.

His price was understandably inflated for 2018 so a lot of coaches looked elsewhere, but he would’ve made a fine selection last year too, as he lifted his average again, this time by nearly 10 points.

And now at 24, he’s getting ready to hit his prime.

Earlier his season I did some analysis on what ages ruckmen should be peaking to try and mount a case for Todd Goldstein.

But the numbers said that ruckmen will be at their best between 26 and 27, so there’s a lot of improvement to come for Nankervis.

Who gives a ruck? Read the full ruckmen analysis here

In 2018 ‘Nank The Tank’ lifted his average disposals (16.6), clearances (3.4), marks (3.9) and contested possessions (9.2) to above average for AFL ruckmen.

His tackles dropped from elite to above average (3.5), but they’re still good numbers.

The weakest part of Nankervis’ game is ironically, his ruckwork.

He was average for total hit-outs (25) and below average in hit-outs to advantage (7.4).

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This can be seen as a negative or seen as a great opportunity for improvement.

In 2018 he only dropped below 80 twice, that’s pretty good consistency for a young ruckman.

It will be so interesting to watch Richmond’s JLT Series with the trend of other sides being towards using two ruckmen. Shaun Grigg surely won’t retain his role as the back up.

Finally, Nankervis is currently only in 2.3% of sides. Scott Lycett, Nathan Vardy and even Braydon Preuss are in more sides!

VERDICT

He’s in my side at the moment. I believe that because he’s so under-selected he presents real value. I certainly can’t see him going backwards.

The risk I take is that I have to bank on Grundy and Gawn not living up to their 2018 standards. They both smashed the benchmark for what we should expect from ruckmen so I’m betting that they won’t average 125+ again.

If Nankervis gets his average up to 105-110 and Grundy/Gawn average around 115-120, considering the cash I’ve saved ($175,200 and $159,100 respectively), I reckon that’d be a win.


20 days to go: Detailed JLT Series notes

21 days to go: Tim Taranto Player Radar

22 days to go: Matty’s Top 20 Breakout Contenders

23 days to go: Shorty’s Worst Ever Trade

24 days to go: Fresh Faces | Freo, Geel, GC, GWS

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34 days to go: Matty’s Top 50 Rookies & Mature-Aged Players

35 days to go: The Premiums | Defenders

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37 days to go: The Burn List – Michael Walters

38 days to go: Todd Goldstein Player Radar

39 days to go: How the new rules will impact SuperCoach

40 days to go: SuperCoach positional analysis


2 thoughts on “Player Radar 2019 | Toby Nankervis

  1. Couldn’t agree more. After delving into every ruck choice, I realised there’s quite the crisis up there. Toby Nankervis is really one that’s stuck out as a decent pick. He’s the only one who doesn’t have a competing-ruckman, who’s still young and not over the hill, has a steady upwards trajectory, and has nice value which doesn’t look like dropping.

    After watching Cripps dominating in the preseason and J.L.T., I think it’s evident Nankervis’s contested possessions will also improve this year.

    Looming as a nice P.O.D., I wouldn’t mind if people stop yapping about my favourite ruck-selection.

    Like

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