Player Radar 2019 | Brodie Smith

Only 27 days to go! So, today I’ll be profiling Adelaide’s No.33, rebounding Crow Brodie Smith! 

He missed nearly the entire 2018 season after ruining his knee in the 2017 finals series but he gave us a glimpse of what he can produce in the final rounds of the season.

Player: Brodie Smith
Team: Adelaide
Age: 27
Price: $332,500
Position: Defender
Games played 2018: 2
2018 average: 87.5
100+ scores: 1
90+ scores: 1

Firstly, let’s look at his age. He’s just turned 27 which means we probably shouldn’t expect him to improve greatly on his past seasons. He’s been in the AFL system for nearly a decade now so he’s either past his peak or right at it.

My question would be: can he achieve a personal best with Rory Laird (25 years old), Paul Seedsman (27) and Wayne Milera (21) also in the team and also able to perform a similar role?

In 2018 Seedsman had the best season of his career, Milera did a job off half-back very impressively when required and Laird went from strength to strength as an All-Australian defender.

Back to Smith though – he’d barely missed a game in two seasons before the knee injury, which is a good sign for his longevity. There isn’t a history of soft tissues to be concerned with.

When Smith came back into the side in late 2018, he returned with a modest 14 disposals and 46 SuperCoach points from 78% game time against Port Adelaide and then compiled a terrific 29 disposals and 129 SuperCoach points from 88% game time against GWS.

Statistically, Smith’s best season was 2014, when he averaged 93.5 from the full 22 games.

He went backwards in the two subsequent years, averaging the 70s for 2015 and 2016, before returning to SuperCoach relevancy in 2017 as the Crows won the minor premiership.

Unlike his counterpart Laird, Smith isn’t a high-possession winner – and he’s never averaged more than 23 disposals in a season.

But perhaps the new kick-in rules could help with that. In the two games he played in 2018, he took six of the Crows’ 25 kick-ins. Nearly a quarter – that’s pretty good going.

New rules’ SuperCoach impact: Read Matt’s analysis of the new rules

I’m also worried about Smith’s ceiling potential – it seems even when he gets ‘off the chain’ he doesn’t score massive, unlikely Laird, Heath Shaw and Jake Lloyd, for example.

In 2017, the second-best season of his career, he crossed into triple figures just four times.

Sure, he scored at least 80 on 12 occasions but he failed to reach 70 in another five matches.

The majority of the voters in the SuperCoach HQ Pack agreed that Smith is too risky to select.

Facebook’s SuperCoach Community: Join the SCHQ Pack here

VERDICT

For now I’m holding off. He’s not exactly cheap and to be honest I really don’t see him becoming a keeper. If we see the kick-in rule greatly impact SuperCoach scoring during the JLT Series that might change, however.

What are your thoughts on Brodie Smith?


28 days to go: Kade Simpson Player Radar

29 days to go: The Premiums | Midfielders

30 days to go: Callum Mills Player Profile

31 days to go: Adam Cerra Player Radar

32 days to go: Lachie Neale Player Radar

33 days to go: Fresh Faces | Adel, Bris, Carl, Coll, Ess

34 days to go: Matty’s Top 50 Rookies & Mature-Aged Players

35 days to go: The Premiums | Defenders

36 days to go: The Floating Donut Explained

37 days to go: The Burn List – Michael Walters

38 days to go: Todd Goldstein Player Radar

39 days to go: How the new rules will impact SuperCoach

40 days to go: SuperCoach positional analysis


3 thoughts on “Player Radar 2019 | Brodie Smith

  1. I’m glad you don’t have him. He entices players who don’t have a very good idea of SuperCoach. In my early days, I would have thought: “This guy will score, like, 100s, play every game and if he doesn’t who cares? I’ll just substi†uate him on the bench for a 60-point rookie. He’ll make over $100,000 and has a high ownage-percentage!!!”
    The reality is, it’s unlikely you won’t be trading him out at some stage due to injury, but for the remainder you have him, he’ll, at best, pump out regular sub-par scores of 80 and he just be a player who you can’t get rid of.

    He’s one of those Fantasy or A.F.L. relevant players. True S.C. experts should not even flirt with the idea of starting him. At least wait til Round 5 or so when/(if) he pumps out 100+ scores. Then, and only then, would you consider him.

    Like

  2. I’m glad you don’t have him. He entices players who don’t have a very good idea of SuperCoach. In my early days, I would have thought: “This guy will score, like, 100s, play every game and if he doesn’t, who cares? I’ll just substitute him on the bench for a 60-point rookie. He’ll make over $100,000 and has a high ownage-percentage!!! What a bargain!”

    Just, no… The reality is, it’s unlikely you won’t be trading him out at some stage due to injury, but for the remainder you have him, he’ll, at best, pump out regular sub-par scores of 80 and he’ll just be that sort of player who you won’t be able to get rid of.

    He’s one of those Fantasy or A.F.L. relevant players. True S.C. experts should not even flirt with the idea of starting him. At least wait til Round 5 or so when/(if) he pumps out 100+ scores. Then, and only then, would you consider him.

    Like

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