Player Radar 2018 – Adam Treloar

After averaging 123 points over the last 7 rounds of 2016, Adam Treloar appeared to be destined for greatness in season 2017. Rather than cement himself as a top 5 midfielder, Treloar instead proceeded to burn all of those who selected him.

Can he turn things around and reach the heights many expected him to last year?

Let’s delve deeper.

Player: Adam Treloar
Team: Collingwood
Age: 24
Price: $557, 600
Position: Midfield
Games played 2017: 21
2017 average: 101.4
100+ scores: 11
90+ scores: 5

PROS

Treloar has proven to be an elite scorer. He first broke out in 2014 with an average of 107.5 from 20 games at GWS. He then followed that season up with an average of 106.8 from 21 games in 2015. Treloar was then traded to Collingwood where he exploded for an average of 111.3 from 22 games before plummeting in scoring output last season.

He is a statistical monster averaging 30 disposals (11.3 contested), 6.4 tackles, 5.3 clearances and half a goal a game in 2017 which are all pivotal areas of SuperCoach scoring. He is also only just entering his prime as he turns 25 just before the start of season.

The midfielder can also provide a unique captain option with 21 scores of 120+ over the last 4 years with 9 of those being 140+ including a high of 176!

For someone who has the potential to average 110+, Treloar is severely underpriced at $557,600. That is $50K down on his starting price from last season. If you were one of the 24% of coaches to start Treloar at his elevated price last season, why not start him this year at a discount? Players don’t lose their ability overnight and Treloar can still take that step into being a top 5 midfielder.

Treloar has also proven to be quite durable, playing 104 out of the last 110 games. He has only managed to play a full 22 games in one season but hasn’t missed more than 2 games in any season which shows that he would be a good chance to be available all season for our sides.

Currently only in 3% of teams, Treloar would also be a Point of Difference that could put you ahead of the pack if he performs well. Quite a disparity compared to his 24% ownership at the beginning of last year!

CONS

Treloar’s biggest problem in 2017, and the source of frustration for many of those who selected him, was his ball use. Treloar just about had an identical average in each statistical category compared to his 2016 season, yet averaged 10 less points. This was due to a decline in disposal efficiency and having an extra clanger per game. He had a kicking efficiency of just 48%, the only player of the top-50 disposal winners below 50%.

If I gave you a stat line such as 27 touches, 12 tackles and a goal, how many SuperCoach points do you think that would equate to? 120 at least? Well, for Adam Treloar, it produced a measly 86 points. One of the most frustrating things in SuperCoach is having a player stuff the stat sheet only for it not translate to their score. Treloar was a serial offender of this in 2017.

Quality ball use is paramount in SuperCoach scoring which means Treloar will need to improve his disposal if he is to be considered.

Although, after comparing Treloar’s 2017 to his previous seasons, it appears it could be an outlier. Generally players with poor disposal tend to be more suited to Dream Team, scoring more in that format than they do in SuperCoach. Treloar’s Dream Team and Supercoach averages throughout his career are the following:

[table id=4 /]

This shows me that 2017 could potentially be an anomaly and that returning back to his heights of 2016 could be easier to achieve than some would think.

A factor that may make it difficult to select Treloar is the fact that he shares a midfield with prolific scorers such as Pendlebury, Adams and Sidebottom. Having all these players in the one midfield ultimately means less points for Treloar. They are also all within $35K of Treloar and along with other fallen premiums such as Parker, Rockliff and Beams, we would want Treloar to be the best scorer of that $530K-580K range which is no guarantee.

Treloar also has a tendency to handball instead of kick as he has a kick:handball ratio of 0.79:1 over the last four years which holds him back as kicks are obviously worth more points than handballs. Although, considering his poor kicking efficiency, it might not be a bad thing.

Summary: Treloar is a proven scorer who racks up disposals, tackles and clearances consistently. He is only just entering his prime with his best football still ahead of him. He is durable and can score big as a captain option. Many of us thought he was the next big thing last year, would we be silly not to start him this year $50K cheaper?

Verdict: Treloar’s sheer weight of numbers, along with an improved kicking efficiency in 2018, will give him a good chance of returning to a 110+ average. I personally think choosing the likes of Treloar instead of a $600K option could be a good opportunity to save money on a player with just as much scoring potential.

Currently in my side. Consider.


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.