Fantasy NBA Breakout Contenders Season 2016-17 – Top 20 (#12-#9)

Welcome back everyone as we continue to countdown the twenty players who I believe can have a significant fantasy impact this season.

Here are the next four players I believe could be ready to break out in 2016-17.

#12 – Bojan Bogdanovic, SF, Brooklyn Nets

With 22 games remaining in the 2015-16 NBA season, the Brooklyn Nets finally made the decision to waive Joe Johnson and moved Bogdanovic into the starting position where he averaged 16.1 points, 3.5 rebounds, 2.2 triples and 1.7 assists in 28.8 minutes per night.

At 27 years of age, but with only two years of NBA experience, Bojan has consistently improved in almost every single statistical category there is. So with the Croatian sharpshooter now earning the starting SF position in a new look Brooklyn team, there is no reason why Bogdanovic cannot breakout even further this year.

Bogdanovic finished as the 160th-ranked player last year and if you can grab him in the late rounds again this year there is every chance that he will repay you with a top-100 finish.

RNK PLAYER, TEAM POS FG% FT% 3PM REB AST STL BLK PTS ‘16 RATING
160 Bojan Bogdanovic, Brooklyn SG -0.54 0.59 1.59 0.15 -0.12 -0.33 -0.64 0.78 1.47

In the final month of last season Bogdanovic managed to score over 20 points six times including a career high game of 44 points. It may come as a surprise to some to see Bojan put up these types of numbers, but actually, Nets supporters have seen it before but without any consistency.

If Bogdanovic plays the whole season with the consistency that he did the last few months of 2015-16, there is little doubt that he will definitely break-out. However, the only thing that is scaring me off is that apart from 3PM I don’t know that he offers much else.

Nonetheless, if he can improve on last year there is no reason why he can’t finish near the top-10 for SG/SF players.

#11 – Victor Oladipo, SG, Oklahoma City Thunder

Could this finally be the year that Victor Oladipo breaks out and becomes not only the fantasy threat, but also the NBA superstar that he has so far threatened to become, but ultimately hasn’t? Quite possibly.

The Orlando Magic never seemed to figure out how best to utilise Oladipo’s strengths and the players around him were not very good. But, now that he has moved to OKC and is playing alongside, arguably, the best PG in the NBA (mind you Steph and Kyrie may have something to say about that) he might just find the going a whole lot easier.

Last season, Oladipo averaged 16.0 points, 4.8 rebounds, 3.9 assists, 1.6 steals and 1.4 triples in 33.0 minutes per night, finishing as the 40th-ranked player.

RNK PLAYER, TEAM POS FG% FT% 3PM REB AST STL BLK PTS ’16 RATING
40 Victor Oladipo, OKC  SG -0.48 0.96 1.01 0.60 1.27 2.16 0.88 1.36 7.77

Oladipo was quoted in July as saying, “I feel like you’re going to see a lot more from me; I don’t think I’ve even scratched the surface of how good I really can be.” As you can imagine this got people very excited.

With Oladipo scoring 34 points (14-24 FG, 1-7 3Pt) along with five assists, two rebounds and two steals across 33 minutes in Monday’s preseason loss to Spanish club Real Madrid, he has done nothing to play down the pre-season hype. He and Westbrook engaged numerous times in offseason workouts together and the pairing of these should work extremely well.

Oladipo really does have an opportunity to shine this season with Westbrook slashing opening up the wings for an uncontested mid-range or three. In addition, Oladipo is playing in a division with the Nuggets, Timberwolves and Jazz, meaning that he’ll have multiple games against sub-par defenses where he can explode.

Expect Oladipo to be drafted in the third rounds of most competitions this season but do not be surprised to see him jump up and surprise a few with teams deciding to take him in the second round.

#10 – Jeremy Lin, PG, Brooklyn Nets

Most of the players I have discussed so far, except for Lin’s Brooklyn teammate Bogdanovic, have been young upcoming players with a lot of potential. Lin isn’t that but he is the archetype breakout of an established veteran on a really bad team, and that is what Brooklyn are going to be … really, really, really bad.

A return to New York where “Linsanity” first burst onto the NBA scene may just be what Lin needs to really emerge as a breakout after a solid season last year as backup to Kemba Walker in Charlotte.

Last season, Lin finished seventh in the N.B.A.’s “Sixth Man of the Year” voting after posting 11.7 points per game, 3.2 rebounds per game, and 3.0 assists per game coming off the bench, finishing as the 109th-ranked player.

RNK PLAYER, TEAM POS FG% FT% 3PM REB AST STL BLK PTS ‘16 RATING
109 Jeremy Lin, Brooklyn PG -1.09 0.87 0.60 0.14 0.91 0.50 0.51 0.84 3.28

In Brooklyn, Lin will surely have the opportunity to lead this Nets team as the starting point guard, surrounded by a young roster that includes up-and-coming players in Bojan Bogdanović and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, and a proven veteran in Brook Lopez.

Last season, Jarrett Jack managed to average 12.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game for Brooklyn last year and Lin is a much better player than him but don’t expect a full-fledged re-emergence of Linsanity, but a top-75 fantasy campaign would be very good for those who draft him in the middle rounds.

#9 – Steven Adams, C, Oklahoma City Thunder

The ‘Stache Brothers (Steven Adams and Enes Kanter) will both have big roles to play for OKC this season with the departure of Ibaka, and as the Thunder continue to search for more offensive production from their front court.

Last season, the big Kiwi averaged 8.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 1.1 blocks in 25.2 minutes per game, finishing as the 102nd-ranked player.

RNK PLAYER, TEAM POS FG% FT% 3PM REB AST STL BLK PTS ‘16 RATING
102 Steven Adams, OKC C 2.74 -1.90 -0.82 1.56 0.41 0.04 1.98 0.23 3.42

According to NBA.com, Adams scored 1.12 points per possession as a roll man, nearly placing him in the 77th percentile among his peers and with two guards who base their offence around the pick-and-roll, expect Adams to get some nice looks off screens.

He’ll get plenty of buckets off putbacks (finishing top 20 in offensive rebound percentage, 30+ games) as well as dives to the rim (1.29 points per possession on cuts).

Kanter will probably outscore and maybe even out-rebound Adams, and as we saw in the playoffs Adams showed what he is capable of when given extended minutes averaging 10.1 points on 61.3 percent shooting, 9.5 rebounds and 0.8 blocks in 30.7 minutes per game.

Adams is worthy of a late-round pick based purely on his upside.

Next time we will discuss the fantasy relevance of some of the leagues bright young stars including; Kent Bazemore, Giannis Antetokoumpo, Jabari Parker and Devin Booker.

As always if you have any questions please feel free to leave a comment at the bottom of this page or send it to us via Twitter or why not join in the conversation by joining our Facebook group!


2 thoughts on “Fantasy NBA Breakout Contenders Season 2016-17 – Top 20 (#12-#9)

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.