Fantasy NBA Breakout Contenders Season 2016-17 – Top 20 (#16-#13)

 

Welcome back everyone as we continue to countdown the twenty players who I believe can have a significant fantasy impact this season.

Here are the next four players I believe could be ready to break out in 2016-17.

#16 – Clint Capela, C, Houston Rockets

Capela has spent his first seasons in the NBA playing backup to Dwight Howard, who has now moved on to his hometown Atlanta Hawks. Capela is now going to become the Rockets starting center. The Swiss international finished last season as the 198th ranked player with averages of: 7.0 points on 58.2 percent shooting, 6.4 rebounds and 1.2 blocks in 19.1 minutes per game. Nothing to sneeze at.

RNK PLAYER, TEAM POS FG% FT% 3PM REB AST STL BLK PTS ‘16 RATING
198 Clint Capela, Houston C 2.08 -4.35 -.082 1.36 -0.52 0.53 2.07 0.02 0.37

Capela wont give you anything in terms of free throws as he has somehow managed to shoot a paltry 35.9% from the charity stripe. However, he will give you rebounds, blocks and field goal percentage – with a very cheap draft stock as well!

CC rarely shoots the ball from further than 3 feet, with these shots making up 78.6 percent of his total attempts!!

With Mike D’Antoni the new Houston head coach we are going to see the Rockets play a “run-and-gun” style of basketball, and this suits Capela down to a tee as his main attributes are his size, quickness, instincts and awareness.

Don’t be concerned about Rockets having bought in veteran big-man Nenê, because, at 34 years of age his best days are well and truly behind him.

To give you some idea of what you might be able to expect from Capela this year, his 36 minute averages of 13.3 points, 12.1 rebounds and 2.3 blocks, might just make him a top-12 fantasy centre.

You’ll just have to take the hit in the free-throw shooting unfortunately!

#15 – Aaron Gordon, PF, Orlando Magic

I am a big fan of Gordon’s, and not just for his dunking!! He is part of this new breed of player who seem to be invading the NBA – big men who can handle the ball and play a wide range of positions.

Last season Gordon finished as the 123rd ranked player with averages of 9.2 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 0.8 steals, 0.7 blocks and 0.5 triples in just 23.9 minutes per night.

RNK PLAYER, TEAM POS FG% FT% 3PM REB AST STL BLK PTS ’16 RATING
123 Aaron Gordon, Orlando  SF/PF 0.47 -0.95 -0.04 1.43 0.10 0.53 0.92 0.41 2.87

In an article on ESPN.com new Magic head-coach Frank Vogel suggested a few things that got me excited, but also left me a little concerned about Gordon’s role for the upcoming season.

Vogel suggested that “We’re going to use him like Paul George” and that “the ball [will be] in his hands a lot.” All of this is exciting. What isn’t is that Vogel also said that if the Magic had not obtained the services of Serge Ibaka, Gordon would be his starting PF but that he will play the SF position.

What concerns me most about these comments is that if things go awry with the Magic at the start of the season, I can see Gordon being made the scapegoat resulting in him being removed from the starting rotation and therefore his minutes limited.

A pre-season ankle injury should be fine by the time the season starts but it is another thing to keep an eye on before committing to draft him. His potential is huge and this could be the year he breakouts … but he could also crash and burn … a risk worth taking?

#14 – Nikola Jokic, C, Denver Nuggets

Some of you might remember Nikola Jokic from the Rio Olympics when Australia came up against Serbia for a spot in the gold medal match. While he didn’t exactly set that match on fire he was a very handy contributor and could be even more impressive for the Denver Nuggets this season.

Entering his second season there is no reason why he can’t improve on his average of 10.0 points on 51.2 percent shooting, 7.0 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 1.0 steals and 0.6 blocks in just 21.7 minutes per game, leading him to be the 55th ranked player in 2015-16.

RNK PLAYER, TEAM POS FG% FT% 3PM REB AST STL BLK PTS ‘16 RATING
55 Nikola Jokic, Denver PF/C 1.37 0.57 -0.30 1.70 0.56 1.10 0.76 0.58 6.34

Now while the Nuggets have made additions to their frontcourt via the draft in the offseason, this may not result in an increase in Jokic’s playing time, but nonetheless, even if he maintains the same minutes as last season, there is no reason to expect him to go backwards.

I’d be taking the punt on Jokic in the middle rounds of drafts.

#13 – George Hill, PG, Utah Jazz

A new team and a new lease on life? George Hill will definitely be hoping so.

Two years ago for Indiana, when Paul George was missing with his broken leg, Hill had an extremely successful fantasy season averaging 16.1 points on 47.7 percent shooting, 5.1 assists, 4.2 rebounds, 1.6 triples and 1.0 steals and leaving him ranked as the 38th best fantasy player in the NBA.

Last season was nowhere near as productive for Hill with PG13 returning to the Indiana starting rotation Hill’s per-game averages predictably dropped to 12.1 points, 4.0 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 1.7 triples despite him playing nearly five more minutes per night, leaving him falling all the way down to 77th.

RNK PLAYER, TEAM POS FG% FT% 3PM REB AST STL BLK PTS ‘16 RATING
77 George Hill, Utah PG -0.30 0.03 1.57 .037 1.10 1.22 -0.27 0.79 4.50

While some pundits are a bit doom and gloom about Hill’s fantasy prospects this year, particularly with the impending return of Dante Exum for the Jazz, I am not in this boat.

Even if Hill doesn’t have a return to form he demonstrated in 2014-15 he is still more than capable to contribute to your 3PM, assist and steals categories, making him a solid pick.

I think George Hill will definitely surprise a few this year leaving some to question why the didn’t consider him given he has shown us all what he can do. You’ve been warned!!

Later in the week I will continue to dissect the players who I think can provide your team with some breakout performances including; Bojan Bogdanovic, Victor Oladipo, Jeremy Lin and Steven Adams.

As always if you have any questions please feel free to leave a comment at the bottom of the page or send it to us via Twitter or why not join in the conversation by joining our Facebook group!


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